Forecast Index
Read more about how the forecasts are structured, and how to apply them.
From One Game to Many Games: Understanding the Transformation
Strategic advantage now accrues to those who can navigate multiple systems simultaneously—processing complexity where others cannot and maintaining access through both formal and informal channels.
F01: From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity
Information transparency gives way to strategic withholding of data, where states and corporations engineer information asymmetry as a competitive advantage, rather than open themselves up to accountability.
F02: From Political Spectrum to Ideological Fog
Stable political organising logics dissolve into real-time algorithm-shaped remixing, where contradictory positioning emerges as strategic advantage rather than weakness.
F03: From Digital Empathy to Localised Solidarity
Agreed social norms of global empathy shift away from care for universal causes, to solidarity reserved only for those in proximity, as defined by identity, geography or immediate networks.
F04: From Special Relationships to Strategic Situationships
The global shift from durable alliances to transactional arrangements rewards optionality over commitment. Those who cannot maintain multiple partnerships simultaneously find themselves locked into arrangements others can exit at will.
F07: From Selective Migration to People as Asset Class
Migration systems shift from implicit selectivity to explicit human asset classification via algorithmic scoring that stratifies mobility by economic value rather than rights.
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled
Money is mutating—its three functions are unbundling into a profusion of rarely interoperable money things, of which the dollar is only one of many— requiring organisations to use and support a multiplicity of financial systems that will continually combine, fork and fail.
F10: From Technology Convergence to Sovereign Systems
Technology infrastructure is splintering into incompatible sovereign systems as nations pursue independence through different models, creating permanent fragmentation.
Explore by 10F Domain
- Civil Society & Democratic Institutions
- Climate Mitigation & Adaptation
- Digital Information Ecosystems
- Energy Systems
- Financial Architecture
- Food Systems
- Global Commons Governance
- Global Health Infrastructure
- Global Supply Chains
- Migration & Population Movements
- Security Alliances & Military Technologies
- Social Values & Identity
- Technology Governance
- Trade Systems
- Urban Development & Infrastructure