Forecast Index
Read more about how the forecasts are structured, and how to apply them.
From One Game to Many Games: Understanding the Transformation
Strategic advantage now accrues to those who can navigate multiple systems simultaneously—processing complexity where others cannot and maintaining access through both formal and informal channels.
F01: From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity
Information transparency gives way to strategic withholding of data, where states and corporations engineer information asymmetry as a competitive advantage, rather than open themselves up to accountability.
F04: From Special Relationships to Strategic Situationships
The global shift from durable alliances to transactional arrangements rewards optionality over commitment. Those who cannot maintain multiple partnerships simultaneously find themselves locked into arrangements others can exit at will.
F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality
The climate window is narrowing just as the energy transition fragments into competing systems, each embedding dependencies that will shape emissions through 2070.
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled
Money is mutating—its three functions are unbundling into a profusion of rarely interoperable money things, of which the dollar is only one of many— requiring organisations to use and support a multiplicity of financial systems that will continually combine, fork and fail.
F10: From Technology Convergence to Sovereign Systems
Technology infrastructure is splintering into incompatible sovereign systems as nations pursue independence through different models, creating permanent fragmentation.
Explore by 10F Domain
- Civil Society & Democratic Institutions
- Climate Mitigation & Adaptation
- Digital Information Ecosystems
- Energy Systems
- Financial Architecture
- Food Systems
- Global Commons Governance
- Global Health Infrastructure
- Global Supply Chains
- Migration & Population Movements
- Security Alliances & Military Technologies
- Social Values & Identity
- Technology Governance
- Trade Systems
- Urban Development & Infrastructure